Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 1.384173 1.710613 2.136520 2.751976 3.653867 4.991937 7.274317
2025-03-02 0.993725 1.358672 1.916921 2.906074 4.815715 8.964671 21.821560
2025-03-09 0.777600 1.127971 1.718771 2.919663 5.783824 14.664102 76.504358
2025-03-16 0.630384 0.948269 1.518361 2.789443 6.336203 21.405749 374.519172
2025-03-23 0.558062 0.870545 1.467436 2.937834 7.875431 40.925649 NaN
2025-03-30 0.494570 0.791888 1.386683 2.968669 9.176152 76.951801 NaN
2025-04-06 0.437885 0.713821 1.283953 2.886879 9.987387 136.719520 NaN
2025-04-13 0.394251 0.652859 1.202682 2.828662 10.930366 283.550746 NaN
2025-04-20 0.375906 0.638266 1.222495 3.103307 14.728927 3683.663111 NaN
2025-04-27 0.354574 0.613693 1.211856 3.274699 18.764753 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.329191 0.576659 1.161146 3.269804 21.469172 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.302906 0.534286 1.088045 3.139576 22.454228 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.286734 0.512721 1.068034 3.239857 27.983841 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.274452 0.498283 1.064895 3.424921 37.893308 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.258932 0.474512 1.030372 3.440299 45.429246 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.240857 0.442904 0.967427 3.275925 46.435760 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.232634 0.433360 0.968107 3.462867 66.436492 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.222007 0.416926 0.944745 3.501834 84.068732 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.209700 0.395284 0.901631 3.398532 91.500303 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.199066 0.376788 0.865752 3.325185 102.618649 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.196302 0.377184 0.890406 3.672514 210.063530 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.191340 0.371592 0.894454 3.890913 411.021524 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.183663 0.358441 0.870659 3.884659 591.701705 NaN NaN